Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

Is New Jersey the next swing state?

2101. Is New Jersey the next swing state?

An argument that New Jersey's recent electoral shifts indicate potential for becoming a swing state, driven by demographic changes and Republican gains among diverse voters.

Gilded Rage: Talking With Jacob Silverman

2102. Gilded Rage: Talking With Jacob Silverman

The discussion explores the shift of Silicon Valley billionaires towards right-wing politics, examining their motivations and historical ties to state power and surveillance.

Schedule for Week of November 2, 2025

2103. Schedule for Week of November 2, 2025

The post outlines key economic reports and indicators scheduled for the week of November 2, 2025, including employment, manufacturing, and trade data.

The giant basket case countries

2104. The giant basket case countries

Noah Smith discusses the challenges facing developing countries, particularly those with high population growth and low GDP, amidst declining support from developed nations.

Non-Federal Statistic of the Day: Recession Predictor?

2105. Non-Federal Statistic of the Day: Recession Predictor?

Menzie Chinn analyzes auto loan delinquency rates as potential recession indicators, highlighting their historical context and cautioning against simplistic predictions based on current data.

2106. The Silicon Valley No-Poach Conspiracy: Recap and Reminder

Timothy Taylor discusses the Silicon Valley no-poach conspiracy, its historical context, and its implications for labor antitrust and wage suppression in the tech industry.

Time to Privatize U.S. Air Traffic Control—Copy Canada’s Model

2107. Time to Privatize U.S. Air Traffic Control—Copy Canada’s Model

Alex Tabarrok argues for privatizing U.S. air traffic control by adopting Canada's model to improve efficiency and accountability in the system.

Trust Government Statistics, Not Government

2108. Trust Government Statistics, Not Government

David Hebert argues that while government economic planning is often flawed, government statistics can be trusted as they involve technical problem-solving rather than economic trade-offs.

Too Cruel Too Soon

2109. Too Cruel Too Soon

An argument that imminent cuts to SNAP and health insurance will severely harm millions, revealing Republican intentions and miscalculations in their policy implementation.

Freddie Mac House Price Index Up 1.0% Year-over-Year in September

2110. Freddie Mac House Price Index Up 1.0% Year-over-Year in September

The post discusses the Freddie Mac House Price Index showing a year-over-year increase of 1.0% in September, along with notable month-over-month declines and regional performance variations.

Trump says Senate should scrap the filibuster to end the government shutdown

2111. Trump says Senate should scrap the filibuster to end the government shutdown

The Associated Press reports that President Donald Trump urges the Senate to eliminate the filibuster to allow Republicans to reopen the government without Democratic support.

ACA Premiums without Extension of Expanded Tax Credit

2112. ACA Premiums without Extension of Expanded Tax Credit

An argument that the potential extension of expanded premium tax credits could significantly affect ACA coverage and costs, highlighting disparities across states and demographics.

Is the NYC mayoral race tightening?

2113. Is the NYC mayoral race tightening?

Nate Silver discusses the shifting dynamics of the NYC mayoral race, highlighting recent polling trends and candidate chances as Election Day approaches.

Trump: China to buy a “tremendous” amount of soybeans

2114. Trump: China to buy a “tremendous” amount of soybeans

Menzie Chinn discusses China's soybean purchase commitments and their implications for U.S. farm income and compliance based on past trade agreements.

Judge sets trial over whether CPB pulled back from NPR due to White House pressure

2115. Judge sets trial over whether CPB pulled back from NPR due to White House pressure

An argument that CPB terminated a significant contract with NPR due to pressure from the White House, raising concerns about political influence on public broadcasting.

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.6% Year-over-year

2116. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.6% Year-over-year

The post discusses a decline in hotel occupancy rates due to reduced international tourism and compares current data with previous years, highlighting significant market variations.

Las Vegas in September: Visitor Traffic Down 9% YoY

2117. Las Vegas in September: Visitor Traffic Down 9% YoY

Visitor traffic in Las Vegas decreased significantly in September, influenced by lower midweek volumes and the absence of major conventions compared to previous years.

It Should Pay to be Super

2118. It Should Pay to be Super

An argument that superhero narratives overlook economic principles, particularly regarding market failures and the necessity of compensation for maximizing value in crime-fighting scenarios.

How We Lost the Trade War

2119. How We Lost the Trade War

Paul Krugman discusses the economic damage caused by Trump's tariff policies, highlighting their impact on prices, uncertainty, and the credibility of the U.S. economy.

Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.8% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 10.2% below 2022 peak

2120. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.8% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 10.2% below 2022 peak

Bill McBride discusses the current state of inflation-adjusted house prices and the price-to-rent index, noting their decline from 2022 peaks.