your daily dose of economic commentary
Bill McBride discusses predictions for economic growth and the likelihood of a recession in 2026, emphasizing factors like fiscal policy and labor force growth.
Timothy Taylor reflects on self-reliance, destiny, and the balance between seeking happiness and recognizing opportunities that come naturally.
An argument that job growth may slow in 2026, with predictions of modest gains or potential job losses due to demographic factors and a stagnant labor market.
Scott Cunningham discusses using Claude Code to create devil's advocate agents for problem-solving in his empirical research process.
Bill McBride discusses predictions for the unemployment rate in December 2026, considering economic factors, labor market uncertainties, and potential fiscal policy impacts.
Tyler Cowen discusses potential taxation strategies in a future dominated by AI, focusing on wealth taxes, consumption taxes, and healthcare expenditures.
The post discusses the rise and subsequent crash of cryptocurrencies in 2025, influenced by political promises regarding crypto leadership.
Maria Aspan discusses Warren Buffett's retirement as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway and the transition to Greg Abel's leadership.
The post reflects on significant economic events of 2025, highlighting absurdities in policy and commentary, particularly regarding recession definitions and data collection issues.
The post reflects on the past year, discussing business metrics, political trends, and upcoming projects while expressing gratitude for reader support.
The post discusses the author's journey in creating a podcast and database to document the history and evolution of causal inference in economics, focusing on key figures and their connections.
An argument that despite initial fears, the economic impact of Trump's tariffs in 2025 was less severe than anticipated, with potential effects still to come.
Timothy Taylor discusses David Hume's views on international trade, emphasizing that trade benefits all nations rather than creating rivalry and jealousy among them.
A young YouTuber claims to expose daycare fraud in Minnesota, highlighting issues related to funding and accountability in the childcare system.
Bill McBride analyzes labor force participation trends and predicts a decline in the participation rate by December 2026 due to demographic factors.
An argument that the Trump administration's immigration policies are based on false narratives, causing harm to communities while ignoring the economic contributions of immigrants.
The post discusses the Freddie Mac House Price Index's year-over-year increase and highlights regional declines in home prices across various states and cities.
A discussion on factor investing, financial economics, and the career of a notable finance professional, including insights on asset pricing and quantitative investing techniques.
The post discusses the benefits of the Abundance movement for small businesses, the impact of luxury housing on rent, and local political support for reducing regulatory barriers.
The discussion centers on the complexities of body image perceptions, particularly contrasting skinny shaming with fat shaming, and the societal implications of these dynamics.