2061. ADP Private NFP and Implied BLS NFP [updated]
An argument that recent ADP private nonfarm payroll data suggests an upward surprise in employment figures, impacting estimates for BLS nonfarm payroll metrics.
your daily dose of economic commentary
An argument that recent ADP private nonfarm payroll data suggests an upward surprise in employment figures, impacting estimates for BLS nonfarm payroll metrics.
The conversation explores AI advancements, OpenAI's growth, implications for organizations, and the future of AI in various sectors, including science and commerce.
Timothy Taylor discusses the importance of high-skilled immigration for the U.S. economy and the need for policy reforms to attract global talent.
The discussion centers on the Supreme Court justices' skepticism regarding the president's authority to impose tariffs for national security reasons.
Paul Krugman discusses the recent electoral success of Democrats, attributing it to economic factors and criticizing the narrative that they are out of touch with voters.
Jon Murphy discusses his journey to understanding classical liberalism and its role in promoting individual liberty and human flourishing through free-market principles.
Bill McBride discusses the NY Fed's report showing a $197 billion increase in household debt and elevated delinquency rates in Q3 2025.
The post discusses a decrease in mortgage applications, highlighting trends in refinancing and purchasing amidst fluctuating interest rates and year-over-year comparisons.
Authorities in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore confiscated assets from a Cambodian businessman linked to a global scam syndicate accused by the U.S.
An argument that tariffs are generating significant revenue for the government while simultaneously imposing economic burdens on consumers and businesses.
Scott Neuman discusses tax changes from Trump's legislation that primarily benefit wealthy Americans.
Nate Silver analyzes polling data and voter sentiment to discuss Andrew Cuomo's electoral prospects against Zohran Mamdani in the New York mayoral race.
The post highlights various stories that illustrate economic principles and their applications, including consumer behavior and educational resources for teaching economics.
Elizabeth Blair discusses the layoffs of staffers as Teen Vogue transitions under Vogue.com, highlighting its previous focus on fashion, politics, and social justice.
Rachel Treisman discusses a listeria outbreak linked to pasta products, resulting in six deaths and 25 hospitalizations, prompting recalls from major retailers.
The author announces the rescheduling of a causal inference workshop, detailing its focus on continuous diff-in-diff methods and encouraging participation amidst personal challenges.
Noah Smith discusses his fascination with Ireland and its culture, drawing parallels to weeb culture and reflecting on personal connections to Irish heritage.
Discussion on compensating differentials explains gender wage gap nuances, emphasizing job flexibility and overtime willingness rather than market discrimination as key factors.
An argument that highlights the disconnect between Trump's lavish lifestyle and the suffering of many Americans, emphasizing the cruelty that binds his supporters to him.
Bill McBride discusses the decline in light vehicle sales to 15.3 million SAAR in October, marking the lowest level in 15 months due to various market factors.