Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

ADP Private NFP and Implied BLS NFP [updated]

2061. ADP Private NFP and Implied BLS NFP [updated]

An argument that recent ADP private nonfarm payroll data suggests an upward surprise in employment figures, impacting estimates for BLS nonfarm payroll metrics.

My excellent Conversation with Sam Altman

2062. My excellent Conversation with Sam Altman

The conversation explores AI advancements, OpenAI's growth, implications for organizations, and the future of AI in various sectors, including science and commerce.

The Case for High-Skilled Immigration

2063. The Case for High-Skilled Immigration

Timothy Taylor discusses the importance of high-skilled immigration for the U.S. economy and the need for policy reforms to attract global talent.

Supreme Court put Trump tariffs on a high-fire grill, in bipartisan scrutiny

2064. Supreme Court put Trump tariffs on a high-fire grill, in bipartisan scrutiny

The discussion centers on the Supreme Court justices' skepticism regarding the president's authority to impose tariffs for national security reasons.

Which Party Is in Trouble, Again?

2065. Which Party Is in Trouble, Again?

Paul Krugman discusses the recent electoral success of Democrats, attributing it to economic factors and criticizing the narrative that they are out of touch with voters.

Why Liberalism

2066. Why Liberalism

Jon Murphy discusses his journey to understanding classical liberalism and its role in promoting individual liberty and human flourishing through free-market principles.

NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased $197 Billion in Q3; Delinquencies "Elevated"

2067. NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased $197 Billion in Q3; Delinquencies "Elevated"

Bill McBride discusses the NY Fed's report showing a $197 billion increase in household debt and elevated delinquency rates in Q3 2025.

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey

2068. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey

The post discusses a decrease in mortgage applications, highlighting trends in refinancing and purchasing amidst fluctuating interest rates and year-over-year comparisons.

Prosecutors seize yachts, luxury cars from man accused of running Cambodia cyberscams

2069. Prosecutors seize yachts, luxury cars from man accused of running Cambodia cyberscams

Authorities in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore confiscated assets from a Cambodian businessman linked to a global scam syndicate accused by the U.S.

Yes, Trump's tariffs are raising billions -- but at a steep economic cost

2070. Yes, Trump's tariffs are raising billions -- but at a steep economic cost

An argument that tariffs are generating significant revenue for the government while simultaneously imposing economic burdens on consumers and businesses.

Here are 6 'Beautiful Bill' tax changes that will benefit wealthy Americans

2071. Here are 6 'Beautiful Bill' tax changes that will benefit wealthy Americans

Scott Neuman discusses tax changes from Trump's legislation that primarily benefit wealthy Americans.

Andrew Cuomo’s last stand

2072. Andrew Cuomo’s last stand

Nate Silver analyzes polling data and voter sentiment to discuss Andrew Cuomo's electoral prospects against Zohran Mamdani in the New York mayoral race.

Tuesday's Assorted Links

2073. Tuesday's Assorted Links

The post highlights various stories that illustrate economic principles and their applications, including consumer behavior and educational resources for teaching economics.

'Teen Vogue' is moving under Vogue.com — and staffers are being laid off

2074. 'Teen Vogue' is moving under Vogue.com — and staffers are being laid off

Elizabeth Blair discusses the layoffs of staffers as Teen Vogue transitions under Vogue.com, highlighting its previous focus on fashion, politics, and social justice.

Worsening listeria outbreak tied to pasta products kills 6, hospitalizes 25

2075. Worsening listeria outbreak tied to pasta products kills 6, hospitalizes 25

Rachel Treisman discusses a listeria outbreak linked to pasta products, resulting in six deaths and 25 hospitalizations, prompting recalls from major retailers.

Rescheduling Causal Inference 2 (Diff-in-Diff) with Scott Cunningham for Nov 15-16, and 22-23

2076. Rescheduling Causal Inference 2 (Diff-in-Diff) with Scott Cunningham for Nov 15-16, and 22-23

The author announces the rescheduling of a causal inference workshop, detailing its focus on continuous diff-in-diff methods and encouraging participation amidst personal challenges.

"I'm a weeb for Ireland"

2077. "I'm a weeb for Ireland"

Noah Smith discusses his fascination with Ireland and its culture, drawing parallels to weeb culture and reflecting on personal connections to Irish heritage.

The MR Podcast: Our Favorite Models, Session 3: Compensating Differentials and Selective Incentives

2078. The MR Podcast: Our Favorite Models, Session 3: Compensating Differentials and Selective Incentives

Discussion on compensating differentials explains gender wage gap nuances, emphasizing job flexibility and overtime willingness rather than market discrimination as key factors.

The Big Smirk

2079. The Big Smirk

An argument that highlights the disconnect between Trump's lavish lifestyle and the suffering of many Americans, emphasizing the cruelty that binds his supporters to him.

Light Vehicle Sales Decreased to 15.3 Million SAAR in October; Lowest in 15 Months

2080. Light Vehicle Sales Decreased to 15.3 Million SAAR in October; Lowest in 15 Months

Bill McBride discusses the decline in light vehicle sales to 15.3 million SAAR in October, marking the lowest level in 15 months due to various market factors.