Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

Journopoclypse!

1001. Journopoclypse!

The post discusses the potential impact of AI on academic publishing, arguing that an increase in paper production will not lead to a journopocalypse due to fixed journal capacities and the necessity of human input.

Can Talarico win in November?

1002. Can Talarico win in November?

Nate Silver analyzes James Talarico's primary win and its implications for the upcoming Senate race in Texas, focusing on voter turnout and prediction markets.

On Day 5 of War, EPU and GPR Spiked

1003. On Day 5 of War, EPU and GPR Spiked

Menzie Chinn discusses the unexpected behavior of VIX amidst rising EPU and GPR during the ongoing conflict.

Claude Code 28: Multiple Agents Auditing Your Callaway and Sant'Anna Diff-in-Diff (Part 3)

1004. Claude Code 28: Multiple Agents Auditing Your Callaway and Sant'Anna Diff-in-Diff (Part 3)

Scott Cunningham discusses his findings from implementing a multi-analyst design using Callaway and Sant'Anna packages for empirical research, highlighting variations in results across different software.

Reality Sets In on Trump’s New War

1005. Reality Sets In on Trump’s New War

The post discusses the muted market reaction to the Trump administration's military actions in Iran, highlighting potential economic impacts, particularly on oil prices and energy security.

A Biden-era rule sought to stabilize child care. Why Trump wants it gone

1006. A Biden-era rule sought to stabilize child care. Why Trump wants it gone

Andrea Hsu discusses the Trump administration's proposal to repeal a Biden-era rule on child care subsidies, citing concerns over fraud.

Japan can be America's arsenal

1007. Japan can be America's arsenal

The post discusses Japan's potential as a strategic partner for U.S. defense manufacturing, highlighting its industrial capabilities and political stability amidst global competition.

America has a housing affordability crisis. Building houses for rent can help

1008. America has a housing affordability crisis. Building houses for rent can help

Stephan Bisaha discusses how increasing the construction of rental homes can alleviate America's housing affordability crisis.

Gasoline Prices, 3 March 2026: Thanks, Drumpf!

1009. Gasoline Prices, 3 March 2026: Thanks, Drumpf!

Menzie Chinn discusses the impact of rising oil prices on gasoline prices, using economic estimates and models to predict future consumer costs.

1010. When Rubber Was the Critical Imported Good

The post discusses the US's reliance on imported rubber during WWII, its impact on military operations, and the challenges of finding alternative sources.

Tuesday's Assorted Links

1011. Tuesday's Assorted Links

Jadrian Wooten discusses various stories that illustrate economic principles and their applications in education and current events.

War Is Expensive for the Little People

1012. War Is Expensive for the Little People

An argument that modern warfare's financial burden disproportionately affects ordinary citizens, highlighting the high costs of military operations and the lack of a clear strategy.

Federal Reserve Revenue: Cutsinger’s Solution

1013. Federal Reserve Revenue: Cutsinger’s Solution

An argument that the Federal Reserve's unique structure influences its budget decisions and revenue generation, potentially leading to inefficiencies and an inflationary bias despite its independence.

1014. Anomalous Switch Points

The discussion introduces anomalous switch points in production models, highlighting their properties and differences from generic switch points, particularly in relation to wage curves and rent.

The candy heir vs. chocolate skimpflation

1015. The candy heir vs. chocolate skimpflation

Greg Rosalsky discusses a campaign by the grandson of the Reese's creator against Hershey for reducing ingredient quality in their products.

Interpreting 2/27 in Basic IS-LM w/Exogenous Price Shock

1016. Interpreting 2/27 in Basic IS-LM w/Exogenous Price Shock

Menzie Chinn discusses the impact of exogenous price shocks on the IS-LM model, focusing on sticky prices and their effects on output and interest rates.

Geopolitical, Financial Risk and Economic Policy Uncertainty

1017. Geopolitical, Financial Risk and Economic Policy Uncertainty

An argument that geopolitical risk is currently high, while financial risk and economic policy uncertainty remain relatively low, despite their correlation with slowing economic activity.

War isn't what it once was

1018. War isn't what it once was

Nate Silver discusses the evolving nature of war and its impact on American public opinion and politics, contrasting past conflicts with current military engagements.

What the recent dust-up means for AI regulation

1019. What the recent dust-up means for AI regulation

Tyler Cowen discusses the current state of AI regulation in the U.S., highlighting informal oversight by national security rather than formal legislative action.

1020. Can AI Tools Be Pro-Worker?

Timothy Taylor discusses how AI tools can enhance worker productivity and collaboration rather than simply replace jobs, emphasizing the potential for new job creation.